仇桑桑, 许琴芬, 陈静瑜, 等. 基于限制性立方样条模型分析肺移植受者多重耐药菌感染的危险因素[J]. 器官移植, 2023, 14(4): 578-584. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-7445.2023.04.015
引用本文: 仇桑桑, 许琴芬, 陈静瑜, 等. 基于限制性立方样条模型分析肺移植受者多重耐药菌感染的危险因素[J]. 器官移植, 2023, 14(4): 578-584. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-7445.2023.04.015
Qiu Sangsang, Xu Qinfen, Chen Jingyu, et al. Analysis of risk factors of multidrug-resistant organism infection in lung transplant recipients based on restricted cubic spline model[J]. ORGAN TRANSPLANTATION, 2023, 14(4): 578-584. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-7445.2023.04.015
Citation: Qiu Sangsang, Xu Qinfen, Chen Jingyu, et al. Analysis of risk factors of multidrug-resistant organism infection in lung transplant recipients based on restricted cubic spline model[J]. ORGAN TRANSPLANTATION, 2023, 14(4): 578-584. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-7445.2023.04.015

基于限制性立方样条模型分析肺移植受者多重耐药菌感染的危险因素

Analysis of risk factors of multidrug-resistant organism infection in lung transplant recipients based on restricted cubic spline model

  • 摘要:
      目的  总结肺移植受者术后多重耐药菌(MDRO)的感染现状,分析感染相关危险因素。
      方法  回顾性分析321例肺移植受者的临床资料,根据术后是否感染MDRO分为MDRO感染组(122例)和非MDRO感染组(199例)。总结肺移植受者感染MDRO情况,应用logistic回归模型分析肺移植受者感染MDRO的危险因素,结合限制性立方样条模型分析MDRO感染与呼吸机使用时间的剂量-反应关系。
      结果  321例肺移植受者中,122例发生MDRO感染,感染率为38.0%。MDRO感染组检出229株病原菌,主要为革兰阴性菌(92.6%),排名前3的分别为耐碳青霉烯类鲍曼不动杆菌(46.3%)、耐碳青霉烯类铜绿假单胞菌(22.3%)和耐碳青霉烯类肺炎克雷伯菌(14.8%)。MDRO感染以下呼吸道感染为主(61.5%),其次为呼吸机相关性肺炎(26.2%)。单因素分析结果显示,采用单肺移植手术方式、术后使用体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)时间长、手术时间长、尿管插管时间长、中心静脉置管时间长、呼吸机使用时间长是肺移植受者MDRO感染的危险因素(均为P < 0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,采用单肺移植手术方式、呼吸机使用时间长是肺移植受者MDRO感染的独立危险因素(均为P < 0.05)。限制性立方样条模型分析结果显示,使用呼吸机20 d内,随着呼吸机使用时间的增加,感染风险持续增加;20 d后,延长呼吸机使用时间不增加感染发生的风险,呈现平台效应。
      结论  肺移植受者MDRO感染率呈逐年下降趋势,采用单肺移植方式、呼吸机使用时间长是肺移植受者MDRO感染的独立危险因素。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To summarize current status of multidrug-resistant organism (MDRO) infection in lung transplant recipients and analyze the risk factors of MDRO infection.
      Methods  Clinical data of 321 lung transplant recipients were retrospectively analyzed. According to the incidence of postoperative MDRO infection, they were divided into the MDRO group (n=122) and non-MDRO infection group (n=199). The incidence of MDRO infection in lung transplant recipients was summarized. The risk factors of MDRO infection in lung transplant recipients were analyzed by logistic regression model. The dose-response relationship between MDRO infection and time of ventilator use was determined by restricted cubic spline model.
      Results  Among 321 lung transplant recipients, 122 cases developed MDRO infection, with an infection rate of 38.0%. Two hundred and twenty-nine strains of pathogenic bacteria were detected in the MDRO infection group, mainly Gram-negative bacteria (92.6%), and the top three strains were carbapenem-resistant acinetobacter baumannii (46.3%), carbapenem-resistant pseudomonas aeruginosa (22.3%) and carbapenem-resistant klebsiella pneumoniae (14.8%), respectively. MDRO infection mainly consisted of lower respiratory tract infection (61.5%), followed by ventilator-associated pneumonia (26.2%). Univariate analysis showed that the risk factors of MDRO infection in lung transplant recipients were single-lung transplantation, long-time postoperative use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), long operation time, long-time urinary catheterization, long-time central venous catheterization and long-time ventilator use (all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that single-lung transplantation and long-time ventilator use were the independent risk factors for MDRO infection in lung transplant recipients (both P < 0.05). Results of restricted cubic spline model analysis showed that the risk of infection continued to increase with the prolongation of ventilator use time within 20 d. After 20 d, prolonging the time of ventilator use failed to increase the risk of infection, showing a plateau effect.
      Conclusions  The MDRO infection rate tends to decline in lung transplant recipients year by year. Single-lung transplantation and long-time ventilator use are the independent risk factors for MDRO infection in lung transplant recipients.

     

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